2012 Arlington Million Betting Tips Part Two
- By A.J. Ryder on August 15, 2012 19:44 GMT
Aidan O'Brien likely has his eyes on the Breeders Cup at Santa Anita for this four-year-old son of Galileo and they will be banking on a sharp reversal of fortunes after some disappointing runs in Europe. Treasure Beach was able to muster a fourth place finish in the Dubai Sheema Classic in his seasonal debut but is still yet to win since his score at Arlington exactly a year ago. Punters will see him at 6/1 in the morning line and some might reckon he's just about ready to fire. Some might not though.
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Rahystrada is a veteran eight-year-old gelding who has made a name for himself winning premier events at some of the more regional American tracks. He tends to run in the best races at Arlington and his trainer Byron Hughes seems to know him well. He put in a good shift in the 2011 Million to finish fifth by less than four lengths to the talented Cape Blanco. He also managed to finish four to Debussy in 2010. Look for him to hit the board once again here – especially as he is only in his third start off a lengthy freshening and scored by a neck in the Arlington Handicap.
Rahystrada trades around 8/1.
Colombian will have William Buick in the irons here and he's got a pretty good record at Arlington – considering he only races there maybe once a year. He scored in a Group 3 contest in his seasonal debut but cooled off considerably once he stepped up in class in his next two efforts. Princess Haya's colt needs to step it up here if he's going to get the result but he might just like the going here on the day as well.
Crackerjack King is the real one to watch here and Marco Botti's charge is likely to take some serious money based off of his impressive form in Italy. He got the better of Cumani's Afsare when he ran at Cppanelle back in May and rattled off a pair of scores at San Siro. He is last year's Italian Derby Winner and will get some respect after finishing 5/9 in the Group 1 Coral Eclipse – a much better race than this one in regards to proven turf competition.
Much will depend on how his jockey handles him as Ryan Moore provided a quality steer last time and some adjustment will likely be needed. The space between his races indicates that he's been pointed here for quite some time.