February 8 Scoop6 Betting Preview Pt 3

The 3:10 at Lingfield is the feature contest there that day - a handicap featuring eight decent all weather runners. The early wagering on this one has been pretty heavy and we’ve seen Modernism taken into 3/1 from 11/4 already since the early wagering was announced. 

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Shavansky has also seen his price trimmed from 6/1 down to a 5/1 shot. 

Modernism gets the nod here as he’s in good quality form running at Wolverhampton and looks likely to kick on here with a small rise in class. With only a few all weather runs under his belt he still has some room to move forward for his owner Dr Marwan Koukash. He’ll be looking for this third score on the bounce and he’s won carrying more weight than this. 

The fourth contest of the day kicks off at 3:35 and it’s the biggest and toughest race to decipher of the entire card - the Betfair Hurdle. This 2m110y dash over hurdles makes this a very unforgiving race as a few mistakes made by one of these younger contenders (many of whom boast entries to the Supreme Novices, the Neptune Novice and other races like the JCB Triumph Hurdle).

One of the big stories we have seen in that very competitive ante post market was when Irving - the outright favourite at the time - was withdrawn because of concerns over the going. His connections opted to keep his undefeated record intact heading into Cheltenham and it’s clear they thought that a testing 2m+ on heavy going at Newbury would leave him less than 100% for his go at the Supreme Novices - which was Irving’s sole Cheltenham entry. 

We then saw Dell’Arca step in as the outright selection by most of the ante post punters but now that the market has closed we have seen him on the drift substantially here with most books taking him from 6/1 out to  15/2 with Irish Saint now installed as the outright choice with a price hovering around 13/2 that is destined to drop into 6/1 or even 5/1 if the momentum continues. 

Clearly it seams as though many of those punters getting money down on Irish Saint are willing to forgive his only previous effort at Newbury when he fell in a Handicap Hurdle with Daryl Jacobs up. Falling at the last hurdle when already looking relatively beaten out, you have to think that a bit more seasoning would have paid dividends for Paul Nicholls talented five-year-old gelding. His real breakthrough came last time out at Ascot back in mid-January when he captured the Keltbrey Holloway’s Hurdle by a whopping 11 length margin. 

He was sent off at a 6/1 price tag on the day and looked good value for money there.