Racing Post Trophy Betting Tips PT 1

The last really big Group 1 flat race of the season is set to unfold this weekend as the Racing Post Trophy gets underway at Doncaster. There is plenty to like about this race - which usually draws a relatively slim, but very select, field of entrants looking to prove their mettle ahead of next year’s Classic Season. The race often has significant repercussions for the ante post markets related to the 2000 Guineas and, occasionally, the Epsom Derby as well. 

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More often than not, however, a big winner in a race like this fails to live up to the massive hype the following May because far too many contenders have simply progressed further than the others during their two-year-old season and then fail to step up their quality once the rest of their generation actually catch up with them. 

The line-up right now looks heavily tilted towards the two betting favourites early on, you have a dead-heat in the wagering between Andrew Balding’s Elm Park, owned by Qatar Racing and Kingsclere Racing, and the Aidan O’Brien charge Royal Navy Ship. 

There is a very interesting dichotomy between the pair with Elm Park having a few races under his belt after losing his maiden effort at Sandown back in late July. He followed it up with a score at Newbury two weeks later and then stepped up to a listed field at Salisbury two weeks after that - triumphing by a three-length margin over a relatively tricky field of five contenders. He was sent off as the 15/8 favourite and didn’t disappoint his backers by asserting himself with a flourishing front-running trip. 

Elm Park vaulted into real prominence when he captured the Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes at Newmarket in late September despite having a really bad go of things. He stumbled out of the gate and then took a bad step later on in the race. He was not able to deploy his usual front-running trip that tends to play to his strengths. Once on the run-in at Newmarket he hung left during the final 100 yards but was still able to get the better of a Group 2 field by a one-length margin.