2010 GENERAL ELECTION FINAL DEBATE ODDS AND LIVE BETTING TIPS

We’ve got the final debate in the UK General Election set to kick off tonight and, while the Labour party reels from bigotgate, Gordon Brown will attempt to stop the bleeding and start shifting momentum back in his direction. He surely needs it.

If the odds are to be believed, David Cameron is the favourite to win tonight’s debate with Paddy Power listing him at an 11/10 price with Nick Clegg just a shade behind at a very solid 13/8 price. Gordon Brown continues to drift and he is listed at a 3/1 margin. The winner is determined according to the ICM poll and keep in mind that dead heats may apply. Personally, I think Clegg looks a snip at that price and I would certainly back him over the other two.
David Cameron is favoured to improve on his performance with 29% listing him as the debate winner last time. Should he improve, you’re looking at 2/5 odds while a worse score would pay out at 7/4. With the Gillian Duffy saga weighing heavily over today’s affairs on the BBC, you can see why they favour Cameron’s performance to be rated higher.
Nick Clegg is odds-on to perform better than last time where he earned his previous listing of 33%. A better score triggers an 8/11 payout while a worse score is listed at even money. The expectation is that he will try to look a bit more Prime Minister-ly and less genial than he has in other debates. I have a feeling that more disaffected Labour voters will side with Clegg than last time. That’s why I’m backing him to win the final debate.
David Cameron is favoured to be the first person to say Bigot with an even-money listing to do so. Nick Clegg is trading at 2/1, but I don’t think being the first to bring it up would jive with the image that he’s constructed for himself. Gordon Brown to force the issue and jump in head-first by mentioning it before anyone else pays out at a 5/2 margin.
Keep in mind that the word “recession” is at 3/1 and is favoured to be the first cliché- well ahead of “bigot” which trades at 5/1. “Bailout” sits at a 6/1 price while “Financial” is also worth a look at 8/1. It’s listed alongside “recovery”. “Deficit” and “debt” are both trading at 10/1 while “Paddy Power” continues to be the outside selection at 500/1.
I think this one is definitely going in the direction of Nick Clegg and I have a feeling that the Lib Dem surge is far from over.