2010 MIDTERM SENATE ELECTIONS COMPLETE STATE BY STATE BETTING ODDS

The American political scene is certainly heating up by the day, as the 2010 midterm elections are nearly upon us. Various European bookmakers have handicapped the senate midterms and there are still plenty of toss-ups out there so we’ll be taking a look at the state by state breakdown.
The Democrats are favoured to hold the Senate but lose the House of Representatives if the current slate of odds from Paddy Power is correct. The Dems are listed at 1/4 to control the senate after the 2010 Congressional Elections while the Republicans are available at a 5/2 price.
The Republicans look set to capture the house with a 2/9 price tag while the Democrats reward at a lengthy 11/4.
Now, for the state by state breakdown on senate races we’ll be going in alphabetical order. In the Arkansas election, it looks like a complete and total lock for John Boozman and you can back him at a microscopic 1/100 while Blanche Lincoln pays out at 16/1 for the upset win.
Venturing over to Alaska, Joe Miller is a heavy 1/8 favourite with Lisa Murkowski with a bit of a mountain to climb at 11/4- it’s not out of the question though. Scott McAdams is listed at 9/2 and is a clear outsider.
Arizona looks to be heading in the direction of the now arch-conservative John McCain. You can back McCain to take the Arizona midterm at 1/50 while his challenger Rodney Glassman pays a massive 10/1 should he pull off the win.
Richard Shelby is a massive 1/100 favourite to win Alabama while his challenger, William Barnes, is trading at a 16/1 price tag.
Former WWE impresario Linda McMahon is a 7/2 payout if she wins the Connecticut senate election while the favourite, Richard Blumenthal, is trading at a slim 1/6 price. You wouldn’t say this one is out of the question but McMahon does clearly have ground to make up.
Ken Buck is a 1/4 favourite to win the senate election in Colorado while Michael Bennett looks to be within striking distance at a 5/2 price. This one looks like it will have plenty of room to develop. You reckon plenty of folks might be tempted to have a bash on Bennett.
In California, Barbara Boxer looks like she will hold on at a 2/9 price while her challenger, Carly Fiorina, is available at an 11/4 listing. Boxer has just secured the LA Times endorsement and could be set to cruise to a victory.
Controversial candidate Christine O’Donnell (aka “I’m not a witch”) is trading at a lengthy 10/1 to upset Chris Coones in the Delaware Senate election. If O’Donnell was to pull off the victory here it would arguably be one of the biggest coups of the entire election and would signify that the Tea Party can get nearly anybody elected.
Marco Rubio looks to have Florida locked up as he boasts a slim 1/20 price with Charlie Crist trading at a 7/1 margin. Kendrick Meek is completely out of it at a 40/1 price. Crist has not run the best of campaigns and looks to be paying the price for it.
Georgia appears to be a lock for Johnny Isaacson, who is a massive 1/40 favourite with his challenger Michael Thurmond available at a 9/1 listing. This one looks done and dusted barring any last minute drama.
In Hawaii, Daniel Inouye is a 1/100 favourite, one of the shortest shots on the board, and John Roco will be paying out a massive 16/1 if he can somehow pull off a major surprise.
Charles Grassley of Iowa has a 1/40 lead over Roxanne Conlin and the challenger is priced at a 9/1 listing. This should be another straightforward incumbent win.
Darren Coats has a 1/50 price to take Indiana over Brad Ellsworth, who can be backed at a 10/1 price. Not much to write about here as this one looks to be done and dusted.
Illinois’ Senate election is looking like one of the biggest toss-ups of the entire season and Mark Kirk holds the slimmest of edges over Alexi Giannoulias- who trades at a 10/11 price tag. This one looks to be poised on the head of a pin at the moment and we expect this to be a competitive market.
Idaho looks like a completely different story with Mike Crapo a heavy 1/100 favourite while Tom Sullivan is a hefty 16/1 longshot. Another race that looks to be pretty much decided.
Rand Paul looks to be cruising to victory in Kentucky with Paddy Power listing Ron Paul’s son, who has distanced himself from the Tea Party in public appearances over the past few weeks (according to the New York Times), he’s a heavy 1/10 favourite to win the Kentucky seat over 5/1 Jack Conway. This will be a major talking point on election night.
Kansas is all about Jerry Moran at 1/100 with Lisa Johnston a 16/1 shot to pull off the upset. It’s a similar story in Louisiana with David Vitter at a 1/100 price while Charlie Melancon is at 14/1 for a major upset.
Missouri is a solid bet to head towards Roy Blunt, who is listed at a slim 1/20 price, while Robin Carnahan trades at 7/1.
Harry Reid looks to be in a serious dogfight in Nevada, with the senate majority leader priced at 5/6 against Sharron Angle- who is listed at an identical price. This one is 50/50 in the eyes of the bookmakers and Reid looks to be in real trouble and he needs to get the momentum back quickly.
North Carolina is looking like a lock for Richard Burr, and you can back him at 1/80 with challenger Elaine Marshall at 12/1.
The New York Special Senate election is heading towards Kirsten Gillibrand’s camp and she’s priced at 1/20 for the victory over 7/1 Joe DioGuardi.
We’ve got more lopsided contests in North Dakota, Ohio and Oklahoma as John Hoeven, Rob Portman and Tom Coburn are all slim 1/100 favourites against their challengers. Tracey Potter and Jim Rogers are 16/1 while Lee Fisher is a 14/1 longshot.
Ron Wyden has Oregon’s senate election wrapped up with a 1/33 price as Jim Huffman is a lengthy 9/1 shot. Pennsylvania is looking like a victory for pat Toomey at 1/14 while Joe Sestak is still a plausible winner at 6/1, but he needs to make up ground very quickly.
Utah is a lock for Mike Lee at 1/100 with challenger Sam Granato at 16/1. Patrick Leahy has sown up Vermont at 1/80 while Len Britton is 14/1 for a big upset.
West Virginia looks to be all about John Raese at 2/7 but Joe Manchin III remains in with a shout at 9/4- that’s a shorter price than most non-favourites so he still has room to challenge. Wisconsin looks to be all about Ron Johnson at a 1/25 price while Russ Feingold looks out of it at a long 8/1 price.