AC Milan vs PSV Eindhoven

AC Milan go into Tuesday's semifinal first leg against PSV Eindhoven as clear odds-on favourites to win the match. VcBet offer a standout 4/9 on the Serie A leaders, while the best price available on AC qualifying is just 2/7.Despite the heavy favouritism for the Italians, PSV should not be totally discounted. The Dutch side have not lost an away game domestically , scoring 37 times and conceding 8 goals.They also already clinched the Eredivisie at the weekend when they beat Vitesse 3-0, and at the same time rest three key players - Alex, Lee, Bouma. Despite the success so far this season, it should be noted that PSV have been fortunate in their route so far in the Champions League. They only just edged out Panathinaikos and also suffered their heaviest defeat of the season against the Greeks. Defeat was also experienced at Arsenal at the group stage. In the knock-out stages, an inferior Monaco side compared to last season were beaten before Lyon were also put out of the competition. PSV were in truth fortunate not to lose the first leg against Lyon when the French side squandered chance after chance. Looking at the betting possibilities and there is little point in backing AC Milan at such skinny odds for the outright win. Yes, they may have averaged two goals a game in all competition and won all five of their home matches in the Champions League, but previous experience at this stage suggests not to dismiss the underdog. It was only twelve months ago when two of Europe's lesser teams won through to the final against more illustrious opposition. There is also a potential defensive crisis looming for Milan who are hoping Andrea Pirlo and Jaap Stam will be fit to play.With Nesta suspended for the first leg, the loss of Stam would be a most unwelcome development. With this team news to hand, it could pay to back one of the PSV players at a decent price to score during the ninety minutes. The player most of interest in Van Bommel who is the second top scorer at PSV with 13 goals, just two behind Vennegoor of Hesselink. With AC Milan potentially missing a few defenders, the advice is a small stake on Van Bommel at 11/2.