ATP US OPEN BETTING FEDERER VS. MELZER

Roger Federer, the short-odds-on favourite to win the 2010 US Open title, is on the verge of a spot in the quarterfinals, and, potentially, a clash against Robin Soderling – which would be a rematch of their 2009 US Open clash.
Standing in Federer’s way is Jurgen Melzer of Austria. Federer stumbled upon Melzer at Wimbledon this year, in the last 16. He beat Melzer handily before bowing out to Tomas Berdych in the quarterfinals.
If their Wimby clash were any indication – Federer dropped eight games in three sets – we are in for a straightforward affair and a rather short night, as far as I can see, at Arthur Ashe Stadium.
William Hill has Federer installed as the firm favourite to win outright, trading at a hot 1/16 price. Melzer is a woebegone puppy, tipped at 7/1.
Set Betting markets are also dominated by Federer. In fact, he’s a solid 4/9 favourite to win in straight sets. That bookies are strongly favouring a straight set affair at 4/11 is telling isn’t it.
A 3-1 score to Federer is priced just on the large side of Evens at 16/5 but it’s a reasonable option. Melzer could theoretically take a set off Federer,  he’s after all a top 20 player now and that expectation would be in keeping with his ranking.
A 3-2 score to Federer is the least expected outcome, tipped at a whopping 8/1. If anything, Federer has made light work of second-tier players like Melzer his entire career so a tight affair doesn’t seem likely.
The way the market has unfolded where Melzer is concerned, it would seem anything Melzer is a pipedream.
Melzer is tipped at an astronomical 40/1 price to mastermind the upset in straight sets. Frankly, I don’t believe many are going to be pounding that option. Melzer would have to put on a clinic if that were the case.
Melzer to win in four sets is still a large bet at 25/1 and again would be a huge stunner. The only reasonable option would be a 3-2 score to Melzer at 14/1; yet, even that is almost unfathomable. Besides most have their hearts set on a Soderling-Federer rematch so Melzer crashing the party would be quite unwelcome, if not, unseemly.
If I were to rate Melzer’s chances, I would say they are slim to none. More likely, than not, the occasion will be too much for Melzer, and I have to say I won’t be surprised if he has a meltdown. Arthur Ashe Stadium under the lights is an intimidating arena and Federer is as infallible an opponent as can be.