Inter vs Villarreal Betting Tips

Inter beat Villarreal 2-1 in the first leg of this Champions League quarter-final tie at the San Siro, but squandered some excellent chances to add to their tally with both Adriano and Martins, scorer of their side's two goals in the game respectively, missing chances to complete a brace. The Italian giants may come to regret that profligacy when they visit Villarreal for the second leg on Tuesday, as they have lost ten of their fourteen games in Spain in UEFA competitions - a compelling stat by any standards. Both teams come into this matched buoyed by victories in their respective leagues at the weekend, and there is everything to play for. Indeed, Villarreal will be very happy with their result in Italy despite losing, because their away goal means that they only need a 1-0 win on Tuesday evening to progress to the semi-finals. Will they do it? I think so, and I think they're reasonable value to do so at a top-priced 13/8 with BlueSquare in the match result betting, but an even better bet to my mind - and the suggested wager - is to back the home side to get the 1-0 victory they need, about which bet 365 .com offer tempting odds of 13/2. The Spaniards play tight and are very strong defensively, something which is reflected by the fact that they've conceded just five times in nine Champions League matches this season - and in their four games at the El Madrigal in this competition they've conceded just twice, an average of 0.5 goals per game. Inter have won only one of their four away matches in this tournament this season - an unimpressive 1-0 win at lowly Artmedia. Roberto Mancini's side have found goals hard to come by on their travels generally this season. In the Serie A, they have netted more goals than any other side at home - a startling forty two in seventeen home fixtures - but have hit the target just seventeen times in their fifteen away league matches. Mindful of Villarreal's away goal, I expect Inter to play in a more conservative fashion, an approach they seem to habitually adopt on rival soil anyway, and, conversely, the home side will be out to nick a goal, then defend that advantage doggedly. Only Barcelona, Real Madrid and Valencia have better defensive records in the Primera Liga than Villarreal, and they're the top three in that table. All in all, Manuel Pellegrini's charges look poised to reach the last four.