LYON VS BAYERN MUNICH 2ND LEG CHAMPIONS LEAGUE LATEST ODDS AND TIPS
The bookmakers are giving Lyon the slight edge in this fixture, but Bayern Munich are heavy favourites to progress to the 2010 Champions League Final. Popular UK bookmaker Ladbrokes has listed Lyon at 2.4 to win today’s semi-final 2nd leg while Bayern are just a shade behind at 2.8. The draw trades at 3.4 and that wouldn’t be enough for Lyon so I think they will be going full-tilt and trying to hit the net several times in order to ensure qualification.
The outright qualification betting shows Bayern at 1.25 while Lyon are listed at 3.75. With Bayern being a solitary goal ahead of Lyon on aggregate, having a bet on Lyon to go through on aggregate is probably the better value play. They need to win the match to progress, so instead of backing them at 2.4 to win you can get them at 3.75. Simples. Basically you’re betting Lyon to win by two goals or win it in extra time. There wasn’t much between them last time out so if Lyon can grab a 1-0 90 minute result then extra-time will be played out with both teams probably listed around 1.87.
The favoured correct score result is looking like either a 1-1 draw (Bayern Munich to progress) or a 1-0 result to Lyon (which would force extra time). Both options are listed at a 6.0 price tag. You’ll find that 1-0 to Bayern is the next shortest price at 7.0. 2-0 or 2-1 to Lyon is priced at 9.0 while 2-0 to Bayern is trading at 11.0 and a 2-1 result to the Germans rewards at a plausible 10.0.
If you fancy more than three goals in this match you’re looking at some very solid prices on offer. 3-1 to Lyon pays 21.0 while 3-1 to Bayern is at 26.0. There are a lot of potential goalscorers here and you can see things opening up a bit later on in the match.
A first goal here is crucial- if Bayern score first then Lyon have it all to do and will need three goals at least. If Lyon score first then Bayern need to close up shop and keep pushing forward. Look for them to counter-attack down the wings, but the absence of Ribery should make things interesting.
Currently, the bookmakers have listed Lyon at an odds-on price to score first- at 1.9 against Bayern’s 2.1. No goals is paying out at 8.0.
Lyon are 3.5 to win to nil and Bayern Munich are 4.5 to do so. The French side are at 10.0 to come from behind and win while Bayern are available at an 11.0 price. A penalty being awarded and scored at any point is listed at 3.0 while a penalty to be awarded and missed can be backed at 10.0.
I think this match will likely go scoreless for the first 45 and then Lyon will start moving more men up the pitch. I think set-pieces are dangerous here today and Bayern will be looking to make the most of them. I expect Lyon to launch a few more long balls then you would expect, especially early on, as they may be looking to absorb the German attack and then hit them on the break. This is a winnable fixture for Lyon and one goal changes everything.