ROGER FEDERER VS ANDY MURRAY 2010 AUSTRALIAN OPEN MEN'S FINAL ODDS AND PREDICTIONS
We're down to the deciding game of the whole men's tournament and, predictably, we've got Roger Federer facing off in another Grand Slam against a young upstart looking to establish himself firmly on the International Scene. For Andy Murray, he's trying to prove that he's arrived and that he's the real deal- able to compete consistently at the highest level. There are simply so many variables for this match that it helps to examine the betting markets to figure out what we can expect to happen.
Roger Federer's odds to win the match are listed at 4/7 with Andy Murray priced at 5/4, that's indicative that Murray is definitely in the contest and I get the feeling that this could be one of the matches that suits the in-play bettor. Top UK bookmaker Ladbrokes has nearly 70 different markets available pre-match and you can expect over a dozen during the match itself.
The lowest-priced option in the set betting is the Roger Federer to win 3-1 selection, which trades at 11/4. Federer in straight sets pays out at 3/1 while a 3-2 victory will reward at 9/2. Andy Murray's most likely route to victory is 3-1, which pays a solid 4/1. Victory in a 3-2 thriller pays out at 5/1 in Murray's favour and an unlikely straight sets victory over Federer pays out at 13/2.
The bookmakers definitely expect it to be close, and they've listed the over/under on games at a mere 3.5. Federer is listed at evens to win (-3.5) and Murray is favoured at 8/11 to win (3.5). That tells you that they don't expect run-away victories in any of the sets. If that's true, you can understand why they priced Murray at just above evens. I think this may, logically, have a bit to do with off-setting the patriotic bets that usually happen when someone from the home nations gets this far on the International stage.
If you like the idea of a handicap bet, but you think Murray is going to win by some distance, try backing him at a solid 6/4 to win (-1.5). The over/under on the total games is trading at 5/6 in each direction at 40.5.
Roger Federer is listed at 4/6 to win the first set while Andy Murray pays a solid 11/10 for a first set victory. That's a solid bet right there for Andy Murray fans. Roger Federer is listed at 8/11 to break Murray's serve first and Murray is at even money to break the Swiss players serve first. Andy Murray is favoured to get more aces than Roger Federer and he's on a (-2.5) handicap at 10/11 while Federer is at 4/5 for a (+2.5) victory on aces.
I think Andy Murray has every chance here and he has been domineering the entire tournament. Roger Federer has played some vintage stuff, but we have seen him in trouble a few times. I think that if Murray can come out with guns blazing, taking the first set, then we're going to see Federer buckle down and try to exert lots of control. The deciding factor is whether Federer will be able to off-set any momentum that Murray gets going for himself. One thing I do like is the over 44.5 games played at a very solid 7/4. Try Andy Murray to win in a 3-2 epic at 5/1.