Superbowl Spread Betting Tips
Sporting Index have jumped on the Reggie Bush bandwagon and are offering a special market tracking the yardage gained (all rushing/receiving/passing yards including Kick returns). The quote is pitched at 1210-1290 but crucially Bush must be active for eight games for any bet to stand. With a point awarded for every all-purpose yard with an additional 25pts for a TD, there are going to be plenty awfully tempted to go long at 1290 at sportingindex.com Bush, the second pick in the NFL draft last spring, finished the preseason with 102 yards in 19 carries. Those stats did include a long of 44 yards in the first preseason game against Tennessee, which had everyone on the US networks very excited for several days. New Orleans do still have Deuce McAllister as the primary running back, although Bush is expected to split carries with the veteran. It's not a situation too unfamiliar to the rookie, who thrived in a similar situation last year with LenDale White at USC when Bush carried 200 times for 1,740 yards and 16 touchdowns while White, a second-round pick by the Tennessee Titans, rushed 197 times for 1,302 yards and scored 24 touchdowns. Bush, who returned three punts and one kick-off for touchdowns in his college career, will also be entrusted to return kicks for the Saints once the regular season starts. Crucially though it won't be all kicks according to New Orleans coach Sean Payton, who reckons Bush is a 12 to 15 carry guy, five catches and a few punt returns. Those returns according to the head coach will come when a team is backed up, punting from its own end zone giving a chance for a big gain. What is not in doubt is Reggie Bush gives the Saints an electrifying and elusive super athlete who is a true difference-maker. When he's not turning a broken play into a big gain, he is drawing the defense's attention and opening things up for other players. Because of his explosiveness out of the backfield, the Saints can install plays into New Orleans' offense where Bush is lined up as a receiver, as well as a running back. The big question is just how many yards can Bush contribute this season? Based on how Sean Payton sees his star player being used, Bush would probably average around 100 yards rushing, receiving and returning with the odds score thrown in. Over a 16 game season that would easily see the 1210-1290 quote surpassed. In an attempt to compare a similar player in the recent times, I looked at the stats of Marshall Faulk in his first three seasons in the NFL. The former MVP actually had an average make-up of 1700 but he was the starting tailback for the Colts, although didn't return kicks. It is ever so tempting to recommend a buy at 1290. However, there are a few reasons why this would be a very risky investment. Firstly the Saints offensive line is very much a work in progress, while Drew Brees is still learning a new system, which could hold back Bush in the passing game. A fearsome schedule also doesn't help matters with six games against Tampa, Atlanta and Carolina - all organisations that possess high calibre defenses - and in the case of the Bucs and Panthers defenses built to contain the speed of Michael Vick. Also on the schedule is the tough NFC East, as well as Baltimore Ravens. The likelihood is if Bush remains healthy throughout the regular season, buyers wouldn't suffer a loss but probably wouldn't see a massive return on their investment. Sellers though would be in for a very tidy windfall should midway through the season, Bush suffer a season ending injury. The conclusion from the bettingchoice office is to leave the market alone, although for those who can't resist a small dabble to keep their stakes at a sensible level. Sporting Index won't keep the market in-running throughout the season, so there will be no opportunity to close out once the Saints kick off in Cleveland.