US OPEN QUARTERS SET BETTING AND LIVE IN PLAY NADAL VS VERDASO
The US Open quarterfinal billing between Rafael Nadal and Fernando Verdasco immediately conjures images of the 2009 Australian Open semi-finals when the Spanish friends and Davis Cup teammates delivered perhaps the best tennis match of the tournament, of the year, of the decade. The pair has met on ten different occasions, but they are best remembered for what transpired Down Under. That that account is the one committed to memory favours Verdasco, surely, because he’s never been able to beat Nadal and some of his accounts against his compatriot, particularly those early on in his career, are probably best forgotten.
If Verdasco wants to mastermind the upset at the US Open and effectively spoil the Nadal-Federer party, we are all hoping to be invited to on Sunday, he’ll have to play exactly the way he played in Melbourne, but just a little bit better is all.
The Melbourne semi-final played to five thrilling sets 6-7(4), 6-4, 7-6(2), 6-7(1), 6-4, a match that Nadal prevailed in when Verdasco sadly double faulted on match point, sending Nadal into the final where he beat Federer in another epic five set marathon.
Some things to keep in mind when you are betting on sets in this match a) Nadal hasn’t dropped a set in the tournament yet b) he’s not even been broken on serve yet and c) his serve has some added mileage on it, hitting upwards of 130.
Where Verdasco is concerned: a) he’s clocked a lot of court time to get into the quarterfinals b) he’s played two five setters already and c) this is his first appearance on Arthur Ashe Stadium at the 2010 US Open so the swirly conditions could be a huge factor against him.
As to what the set betting markets look like on various platforms, the favourite outcome easily is a straight set affair to Nadal. Paddy Power favours the 3-0 score to Nadal at 4/6, while William Hill tips the same score at 8/15 to Nadal and Sportingbet.com offers it a 3/5 price.
Anything Verdasco is a large bet. A 3-0 or 3-2 score at Sportingbet.com is listed at 25/1 and 22/1 respectively, while a 3-1 score is tipped at 16/1. William Hill is more sceptical where Verdasco is concerned, offering him at a staggering 33/1 to win in straight sets and a much more attractive 12/1 to win in five sets.
As the match gets underway a whole slate full of Live-In-Play options come into play across various platforms, offering all manner of up-to-the minute bets and,...wait for it....angles for profit.