2016 US Election Betting Tips PT 2

Trump's odds to win the presidency were in the neighbourhood of about 500/1 at this time last year. The American billionaire is now trading as low as 4/1 for the presidency – putting him in an odds tie with former Republican frontrunner Jeb Bush. Several bookmakers do have Trump floating a bit higher – in the neighbourhood of about 13/2 at the maximum – but there has been absolutely no denying his momentum and the fact that he stands atop the race like a colossus right now.

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The Donald Trump factor has been exacerbated by the fact that a new USAToday Poll shows him (for the first time in this election cycle) defeating Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden in a head-to-head race for the White House. While it remains just a poll and the Iowa caucuses are still nearly five months away, the Donald looks to be turning the summer of Trump into the fall and winter of Trump as well.

Jeb Bush was widely considered to be the Republican frontrunner for quite a while during the build-up as the American political class (aka lobbyists, news media and political bloggers) had virtually assumed we were gearing up for a Clinton vs Bush dynasty face-off but as the days go by in this campaign it now looks less and less likely that either of them will be on the ticket when American citizens go to the polls next fall.

The entrance of Joe Biden really complicates things significantly for Hillary – much more than Bernie Sanders does. Sanders is positioning himself well for a run as an independent candidate or a shot at the VP ticket, but the simple fact remains that it is much easier for Joe Biden to have a go at things than anybody else. With the vice president still dealing with the death of his son Beau Biden from brain cancer (apparently it was his son's dying wish for his father to run for president) many think that might keep him out of the race, but he has been sending signals lately that he appears ready to run based on the downfall of Hillary Clinton.

Biden's odds have dropped significantly from even two weeks ago. He now trades as low as 9/1 for the presidency but is seen by most bookmakers as a 14/1 shot. That is still a very short price for somebody who hasn't even declared his candidacy yet. His odds tend to mirror those of Bernie Sanders but a couple of books have him a bit lower on the average.

Other notables include Marco Rubio, who many see as a potential late surge chance in this campaign since he has all the trappings of an excellent politician – but it's just that fact that may actually work against him. This could be an election year where people don't want a politician to run for president and lead the country. Punters will find Rubio as low as 11/1 and as high as 16/1. John Kasich made the most of his chance at the recent debates and he's anywhere from 16/1 to 25/1. Scott Walker, who was considered one of the Republican frontrunners at the start of the summer, now trades at anywhere from 14/1 to 30/1 for the presidency with Carly Fiorina also in the reckoning now with a 40/1 price tag.