Latest American Politics Betting Update PT 2
- By A.J. Ryder on March 26, 2021 18:23 GMTPuerto Rico and Washington DC are considered to be candidates to become official US states and receive the distribution of two senators apiece - something that would swing the senate and house towards the Democratic party. A lot of noise is being made about this and you can assume that it will be pushed closer to the midterm elections next year.
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The betting exchanges don’t favour either territory to get statehood with a 1/12 price on the “no” option and a listing around 35/4 on the “yes” option.
The UK is heavily-favoured to be the destination of Joe Biden’s first official visit and that’s trading at a slim 2/13 price tag but that may be complicated by some current affairs. It’s worth noting that Germany are a 9/1 price while China can be backed at a 97/1 price tag.
During his press conference, Joe Biden mentioned that he missed having Donald Trump around - it obviously made his job a little easier and lowered the bar of expectations and Trump has been doing a round of media interviews in preparation of a campaign to promote his book. Trump has also been making noise about starting his own party or getting back involved with Republcian politics. You’ll find him trading at 19/2 to start a new party.
In regards to the presidential election in 2024, Kamala Harris is trading as the slim favourite with a 3/1 margin available from most major bookmakers with a few going as high as 7/2. Joe Biden is floated around a 5/1 listing and Donald Trump trades anywhere from 11/2 up to 7/1.
Nikki Haley is an interesting outside option here and would likely secure the Republican nomination if she ran - and would match up well against Kamala Harris if she was running for the top slot. Haley can be backed at a 20/1 price tag right now with several top bookmakers.