US Presidential Election Betting Odds PT 1

Things have definitely gotten more interesting as the days go by in this rollercoaster of a presidential election that is happening in the United States right now.

In what had long looked to be a coronation for Hillary Clinton (who was listed as low as a 1/5 price tag for the outright presidential victory at one point), she has now drifted up to higher than even money on the back of poor campaigning, bad poll numbers and a looming FBI investigation over a private email server.

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The emergence of Bernie Sanders in a race that was expected to be all about Hillary all the time has really prompted a reexamining of things and it appears not all is well in Clintonland. The media continues to report on Sanders and his legion of supporters with messaging that channels much of the same notes that we saw during the Occupy Wall Street protests of several years ago. 

After a massive victory in New Hampshire and what looks to have been a virtual dead-heat in Iowa, Sanders (a democratic socialist who hadn’t even cashed a paycheque until the age of 40) is gaining plenty of momentum and could wind up being competitive nationally, particularly if he gets the continued support of minority voters and can shift them away from Hillary Clinton. 

For quite some time, Hillary had been depending on the fact that she would be an easy sell with women voters - particularly young women voters - but she vastly overestimated her appeal with the young women in their 20s who have dramatically different values and priorities than many women Hillary’s age.